The April 21 seizure of the oil tanker M/T Tifani in the Bay of Bengal signals the obvious. The U.S. has the military and economic power — and a president with the political will — to globalize its remarkable war to denuclearize ayatollah Iran.
Media reported Navy SEALs boarded the Indian tanker, which was carrying a 1.8-million-barrel shipment of "previously sanctioned Iranian oil." The tanker had engaged in oil smuggling operations "throughout Asia." India's Economictimes.com added "ship-tracking data showed the Tifani was carrying oil in the Indian Ocean on Tuesday between Sri Lanka and Indonesia."
The Pentagon called the boarding operation a "right-of-visit maritime interdiction," meaning it is permitted under international law. The Tifani flies the flag of the southern African nation Botswana — a flag of convenience. For the record, Botswana is landlocked.
Another Pentagon announcement warned, "International waters are not a refuge for sanctioned vessels."
That statement makes my point about expanding the area of naval operations quite clear. The U.S. is conducting a global economic war on Iran.
The M/T Tifani seizure was the second the USN has conducted. On April 19, U.S. Marines boarded an Iranian-flagged cargo ship near the Strait of Hormuz. The Pentagon said the ship had tried to evade the American naval blockade. The Navy fired on that particular vessel, damaging its engine.
The Iranian regime (or what's left of it) claims it controls the Strait. That's utter nonsense. However, pro-Iran and anti-American media repeat the nonsense, which gives Iranian hardliners a propaganda boost. It also appears reports of Iranian blockade runners reaching Iranian ports are exaggerations, perhaps totally false.
As it is, on April 21, President Donald Trump extended the ceasefire, describing the Iranian regime as fractured and fragmented and needing time to formulate a unified plan.
The Trump administration's naval blockade denies Iran oil export income and obstructs Iranian resupply. The goal: economic strangulation of the regime. Another goal: demonstrating the regime cannot rebuild its military and security forces.
Could Iran sink a civilian tanker in the Strait? Of course. The criminals in Tehran could run an empty tanker toward the Strait, blow it up with onboard charges and then claim Iranian small boats rammed and sunk it. The propaganda press would have some grisly, grimy video.
But Tehran sinking one of its own tankers would be desperate theater, not a military operation. The Trump administration could legitimately call it a ceasefire violation.
The USN can handle a naval blockade against Iran. Iran has no warships. However, the "hull deficit" — the shortage of warships and support vessels — is real. Three years ago, Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.) pointed out that in 2030, China will have a fleet of 440 warships. The U.S. Navy? Perhaps 290. Unless Washington does something. The Trump Administration intends solve the hull deficit - but that takes time and money.
U.S. strategy in the Cold War was to globalize the war against the Soviet Union. Moscow, possessing a large ground force advantage in Europe, would have loved to restrict a shooting war to central Europe, the North Atlantic and the Mediterranean. Keep it conventional and restricted long enough to seize Wurttemberg and Frankfurt (West Germany), then offer peace terms.
The U.S. Navy and Air Force had other ideas. The Navy would sink Russian ships globally, and the USAF would decimate Russian and Warsaw Pact logistics and economic infrastructure.
The Venezuela raid and arrest of Nicolas Maduro should have told the ayatollah regime its "oil weapon" global strategy would soon be gutted.
By toppling the Maduro dictatorship, the Trump administration eliminated an oil-rich criminal regime making common cause with Tehran. Venezuela exported oil and turmoil — criminals and terrorists throughout the Western Hemisphere, with the U.S. the ultimate target of violence and disruption.
To find out more about Austin Bay and read features by other Creators writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate webpage at www.creators.com.
Photo credit: Scott Tobin at Unsplash
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